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11/7/12

On the election...

Bread and Circuses’ is the cancer of democracy, the fatal disease for which there is no cure. Democracy often works beautifully at first. But once a state extends the franchise to every warm body, be he producer or parasite, that day marks the beginning of the end of the state. For when the plebs discover that they can vote themselves bread and circuses without limit and that the productive members of the body politic cannot stop them, they will do so, until the state bleeds to death, or in its weakened condition the state succumbs to an invader—the barbarians enter Rome.” 
– Robert Heinlein (via Monster Hunter Nation)

We'll see how the next four years go - what Obama tries to leave as his legacy, how the economy does (markets had their biggest losses of the year today), and what happens internationally. Big questions, and I don't have high confidence levels that they'll turn out well.

What's worse though is that I don't see things getting better after Barack leaves office in 4 years. The demographics and culture of the country are shifting, and as the Obama payroll grows ever larger and the dependence on government programs increases, that shift will only become more pronounced. We may well be inside a dependence death spiral that the masses won't break out of. I don't have a good feeling about this next 4 years, and the 4 years after that is already starting to scare me.

I'd love to be completely wrong - it's in my interest as much as anyone else's for this country to get back to its old awesome self. Heck, maybe Obama will be true to his word and work to bridge party lines and get some good moderate type things accomplished. I don't have a lot of hope for that kind of change from his last term, but I'm happy to be wrong.

13 comments :

  1. i've appreciated your blog for the lack of thinly veiled racism that is inherent in other prepping blogs. the heinlein quote is compelling, but your analysis is weak. you point to demographics and culture, dog-whistling to the morons out there who might believe that the brown people are having so many more babies that decent white folk just will be swept away in the demographic tidal surge. it's true that the ratio between different ethnicities is changing with minorities moving toward the majority, but white folks are the ones with the greatest increase in welfare usage. not blacks. not latinos. white people. and not just any white people, but white conservatives.

    i hope you weren't trying to say what i think you were trying to say.

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    1. Demographics are not just race - they include age, marital status, employment status, religious beliefs, etc. See Wikipedia. Please, don't go looking for racism where these isn't any.

      As you've noted, minority groups are growing quickly in this country, and the Right has done a lousy job appealing to anyone other than white folks in the past. The Left does (very) well with these groups, and the Left is pro-bigger government, more programs, more handouts.

      But looking beyond race, there are other macro trends - fewer people are getting married, fewer people are having families. One example: there are now more single women than married women in the U.S. Another big one: fewer people are going to church. The Left also does very well with these groups.

      Pro-Left groups grow in prominence, and ever increasing wealth is shifted from the productive private sector to the unproductive government. Continued cultural shift towards secularism, and in not so long, we're Europe. That's the death spiral I'm talking about.

      I don't want to live in Europe.

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    2. i'm quite content to be wrong...

      thanks.

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    3. Veiled racism? Are we talking about the same word here? Racism is the belief that one race or ethnic group is superior to another. I don't see anything that remotely resembles that word. I myself am brown (which means i'm qualified to comment this way. Right? lol) and i've never understood where people find all this fantasy white on anything else racism. It is such a loaded word and the same people who use it in their speech seem to often be racists themselves. You don't have to be white to be racist.

      I think that what he is talking about is a cultural shift in this nation that is helping to drive our economy over the edge. An economic collapse is one of the worst realistic world scenarios i can think of and the vast majority of the nation doesn't seem to understand how catastrophic something like that has the potential to be. Ten trillion in debt and still spending like there is no tomorrow? Well, there won't be for much longer if we keep this up.

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  2. I hate to agree with you but, I truly do think you have hit the nail on the head.

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  3. I don't believe what he was referring to has anything to do with race. There is in this country a growing group of dependent people on the government, of all races. Not all are completely dependent or poor. Its great that we live in a country that does care about its constituents, however that is also its weakness, when a majority of voters do so, one way or another, based on what is in it for them. I'm not saying that this is the case, but it is increasingly happening.

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    1. Agreed.

      Helping others is great - it's just how you help people. Through private efforts - charities, churches, non-profit, or, hey, giving them a job! - or by taxing others and taking that money into the government. Poorly run private efforts will go broke, lose funding, etc. A poorly run government is status quo, has zero incentive to act efficiently and can just raise taxes or issue debt instead of going broke.

      Of course, there's some role for government, too - disaster relief, helping facilitate private efforts, etc. But, for the most part, keeping the money in private hands will work out better than taxing it away.

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  4. I don't believe what he was referring to has anything to do with race. There is in this country a growing group of dependent people on the government, of all races. Not all are completely dependent or poor. Its great that we live in a country that does care about its constituents, however that is also its weakness, when a majority of voters do so, one way or another, based on what is in it for them. I'm not saying that this is the case, but it is increasingly happening.

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  5. The easiest way to secure power is make more people dependent on uncle sugar. If you rob Peter to pay Paul you will always have Pauls support. The instant that more people(both citizens and non-citizens) are receiving gov. Support than producers are paying for it will be the tipping point. There will be no recovery from that. The moocher class has been legitamized by the looter class, and the producer class has been vilified as racist, evil, and greedy for so long that it can't even remember self pride, or imagine freedom. There are no racial overtone intended so do not look for them. The "FreeStuff Army" truly is diversified, and welcomes all who surrender their opinions to the plantation masters, and lock step. The Dems claim to be about minority rights, but only those who agree with them, and not the dissenting individuals who jump outside their photo ops. A social safety net is good, but when more and more people use it as a trampoline it will eventually fail, try not to be caught under it.

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  6. sorry, there was no hint of racism in the article/statement, none whatsoever. but the truth is, the left benifits from ever expanding masses of people dependent on the gov for their every need, and they need is more and more not realted to the ability to work for a living. laziness spans all demographics and it is so easy to get into the habit of not working, i would give anything to not have to go to work everyday. the way I see it, is that a ot more people are going to quit working because they are tired of taking care of the ones that wont work (and I dont mean can't work). when the wage earners fall to a certain level, there just is not going to be enough money coming in to the gov, to give money out to the ones that live off the gov. I see a major crash in the near future and an unwillingness of had working people to continue to do so. It becomes quickly more profitable to stay home and let someone eles make the money and paythe taxes. I too hope you're wrong, but I see darker days ahead.

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  7. It saddens my heart at the state this country is in and where it is headed. The Heinlein quote hit the nail on the head. I pray that America hasn't lost its last chance to turn things around and get back on the path laid out by our Founding Fathers.

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  8. If you say one word against their god, they call you a racist, well i don't worship false gods. It doesn't take a genius to understand what they want... pleasure. They'll tell you how hard they work and many do, how intelligent they are (yeah right) and how the policies they promote make them feel good (because feeling good is all that matters when it boils down to it). They state that their collect view is one that is set on inclusiveness but that is until you disagree with them and then they call you radical, racist, homophobic, hater...

    Your blog represents whats left of the pioneer spirit and her people. Your points dove tail in with your $40 prep segments as well as all the rest. Last year we were hit by an earthquake, tornado and a hurricane (not all at once obviously). My family was without power for 10 days and without one drop of help from President Obama, we did just fine. We rebuilt with our labor and the government... all they did was tax us... they surely didn't build a thing for me, not before the storm and not after.

    I believe there will be great opportunities for those of us with the pioneer spirit as the common democrat supporter (which has grown and will continue without a doubt) is far too mentally handicapped to understand the simple law of actions and consequences. We believe that our place is to stand guard and be ready for the unimaginable.

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  9. We're up to 15 trillion in debt and neither D nor R have any plan to stop deficit spending. Currently the government spends 2T a year and borrows 800 billion of that, and we should expect the spending and borrowing to greatly increase when the healthcare act takes full effect. What is going to happen when the debt reaches such a level that our lenders say "no more"? And with each QE that deflates the value of the dollar, our lenders have to get more nervous that the dollars they lend will be far more valuable than the dollars they get in return, IF they ever get a return. This doesn't even take into account the damage QE does to the average Americans savings. And how long can the Fed hold interest rates at zero? When they rise, so does the interest rate on the debt. Eventually the whole scheme is going to collapse and the dollar/US economy is going to collapse with it.

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